Are China and India about to start a war in the Himalayas? If historical precedent holds, the continuing standoff involving thousands of troops in multiple places along the contested 2,200-mile boundary likely won’t escalate to armed combat. But one thing is clear: Ties between the world’s two most populous nations are fraying rapidly.

Today’s tensions are the most serious since the Doklam crisis, a 10-week confrontation in 2017 that involved Indian troops intervening to prevent the People’s Liberation Army from building a…



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